黑色幽默Mercenary Leader Prigozhin Reported Dead in Plane Crash by Russian State News_我的网站
一 | The leader of the Wagner Group mercenary front that marched his forces on Moscow just months ago was believed to be among 10 individuals who died in a plane crash Wednesday, according to Russia’s state news service. Yevgeny Prigozhin, who led the failed revolt in June, was listed among 10 names on the private plane’s passenger list, according to the report from Tass, which cites the country’s aviation authority. All 10 people aboard the flight were killed. Yet official confirmation that Prigozhin was among them was slow in coming. Before the crash, Prigozhin – who had seemed to largely disappear from public view after he was permitted under a deal brokered by Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko to take refuge in his country in the wake of the mutiny – was widely believed to be in Africa. He released a recent video in which he can be seen armed in a desert landscape among troops, suggesting the Wagner group had returned to its roots of advancing Russian interest by trading securing guarantees for developmental rights. “Wagner is conducting reconnaissance and search operations, making Russia even greater on every continent – and Africa even more free. Justice and happiness for the African nations,” he said in the video posted this week to his Telegram channel. President Joe Biden, who was quiet on the rebellion as it unfolded, said what many were likely thinking when asked about the reports on Wednesday. “I don’t know for a fact what happened, but I’m not surprised,” Biden said. Asked if he thought it was the work of Russian President Vladimir Putin – whose enemies regularly fall victim to fatal accidents or mysterious attacks – Biden responded, “There’s not much that happens in Russia that Putin’s not behind. But I don’t know enough to know the answer.” Prigozhin appeared to maintain a precarious position within Russian President Vladimir Putin’s inner circle, seemingly allowed to remain at the head of his forces and secure billions of dollars in government contracts despite his aborted rebellion against Moscow in June, when a column of some 25,000 Wagner troops loyal to him conducted a stunning about-face and marched along with fighting vehicles and heavy weaponry toward the capital. Progozhin, who had been increasingly vocal about his dissatisfaction with Russia’s generals as well as the lack of resources supplied to his forces, said publicly that the move was in retaliation for a Russian attack on his forces, although U.S. intelligence indicated that Wagner troops had been amassing near the Russian border for some time. The troops – who were called upon to do some of the heaviest fighting in the ongoing war in Ukraine – marched on the southern Russian metropolis of Rostov-on-Don, seizing the headquarters building of the Russian command overseeing the war. Russian officials sought the arrest of Prigozhin and moved on his convoy. Skirmishes ensued, yet Russian troops reportedly cheered and waved the mercenaries through checkpoints while some even joined the column of Prigozhin’s men that began making its way to Moscow. As quickly as it materialized, the threat dissipated, and Prigozhin issued a statement saying his mercenary front had achieved its ambition of seizing the Kremlin’s attention and was returning to the front lines. An arrest order was withdrawn and Prigozhin was permitted under a deal brokered by Lukashenko. Reports later emerged of meetings between Prigozhin and Putin, and the mercenary leader was subsequently seen in St. Petersburg, where he was permitted access to his vast sums of money that had been seized by the government. The status of Wagner was less clear, with some troops joining regular Russian forces in Ukraine, some remaining in Belarus and some believed to have returned to operations in Africa. Wagner first emerged as the armed extension of Putin’s foreign ambitions for the developing world, particularly to help secure areas in which Russia could prospectively exploit mineral rights and other commercial enterprises – regardless of the tactics required to achieve the goals. Prigozhin, a catering tycoon and Wagner's chief financier who spent time in prison in Russia’s immediate post-Soviet era, parlayed contracts to feed Russia’s troops into a security company of his own. His mercenary front rose to the public’s attention by carrying out highly deniable paramilitary operations in far-flung regions of the world aligned with Russia’s foreign policy. Wagner’s presence in Mozambique, Libya, Central African Republic and Mali resembled a business conglomerate, trading natural resource access for private military services with a penchant for human rights abuses. That expeditionary mission began to change into more of a special operations force with ultimate deniability when Putin, finding difficulty masking the high Russian death toll during the Syrian civil war, employed them to prop up the regime of Bashar Assad during the civil war and simultaneously execute a multinational war against the Islamic State group. 。 据《航空学家》报道，埃及国防部通过社交媒体发布照片，证实将派遣米格-29M2和阵风战斗机参加中埃空军“文明之鹰-2026”联合演训，这是埃及首次派遣阵风战斗机参加中埃空军联合演训。
二 | （埃及国防部发布的参演战机照片） 这样一来，欧洲三种四代半战斗机均与中国战斗机交手了：中泰空军“鹰击”联合演训，瑞典批准泰国皇家空军JAS-39C/D战斗机参加；巴基斯坦空军歼10CE战斗机曾经在卡塔尔“吉扎尔-2”联合演训之中对阵卡塔尔台风战斗机；2025年5.7印巴空战，巴基斯坦空军歼10C战斗机更是击落了印度空军阵风战斗机。从这个角度来讲，法国继续不让埃及空军阵风战斗机参加“文明之鹰”联合演训并没有什么意义，反而会引起埃方厌恶，所以他们应该经过权衡，最终放行。 歼16此次或模拟以色列空军F-15IA 中国空军此次派出歼16战斗机参加“文明之鹰-2026”联合演训，歼16战斗机最大特点就是配备了中国新一代机载有源相控阵雷达，雷达采用氮化镓器件，功率居全球之冠。歼16主战武器是PL-15，最大射程超过200公里，放眼世界，也是顶尖的存在。
三 | 因此外界推测歼16此次参演应该是模拟以色列空军F-15IA战斗机，F-15IA战斗机是美国最新F-15EX的出口型，配备有AN/APG-82(V)1机载有源相控阵雷达，这型雷达号称西方战斗机之中功率最强的型号。
四 | 机载武器方面F-15IA将会配备AIM-120D空空导弹，甚至最新AIM-260空空导弹。
五 | （歼16是当今最强四代半） （歼16模拟以色列F-15IA） 中国空军还派出了空警500空中预警机和运9LG电子干扰飞机。空警500配备机载有源相控阵预警雷达，探测性能好，抗干扰能力强，具备优异的反隐身能力。运-9LG电子干扰机搭载有大型平衡木有源相控阵天线，功率大，波束指向精度高，可以干扰现代有源相控阵雷达。空警500和运-9LG主要模拟以色列G550空中预警机和电子干扰飞机，以色列空军依靠这两种飞机在态势感知方面压倒中东国家，从而确保了自己的空中优势。 埃及空军希望借此机会见证新一代空战体系威力 （中国空军空警500预警机） （空警500可以模拟以色列空军G550预警机） 从这里我们可以看到“文明之鹰-2026”就是让埃及空军熟悉以色列空军新一代作战体系，让他们检验自己对阵这个体系的能力。埃及空军阵风战斗机有两个型号，1个是阵风F3R，还有就是阵风F4.1。前面说过，阵风F3R在2025年5.7印巴空战中被歼10C击败，面对歼16下场可想而知。阵风F4.1战斗机比F3R有改进，例如雷达换装氮化镓器件，探测性能提高，不过阵风战斗机的机头空间小，限制雷达天线孔径，相应T/R模块数量受到限制，因此探测性能肯定比不上歼16的雷达。更别说法国顾忌以色列的反对，一直不愿意向埃及出售流星空空导弹，从而进一步拉大了阵风与歼16的差距。
六 | 换句话说，不论阵风F4.1还是F3R对阵歼16，结果并没有太大区别。 这个结果对于埃及空军来说应该是备受打击，他们最先进的阵风战斗机无力挑战以色列空军F-15IA，更何况以色列空军还有第5代隐身战斗机——F-35I。实际上埃及空军与以色列空军差距是全方位的，装备差距只是其中一部分，软件方面差距更大。以色列本身经济技术发达，加上又是美国在中东的核心盟友，因此以色列空军可以接触到美国最新军事技术，其训练水平远高于埃及空军。
七 | 西方为了保持以色列空军优势，不但缩水埃及空军战斗机性能，还在训练方面进行了诸多限制。
八 | 这也是埃及空军要与中国空军进行“文明之鹰”联合演训的主要原因，西方根本就不与他们进行这么高层次的联合演训，实际上法国空军自己都没有新一代有源相控阵预警机和电子战飞机。
九 | 法国此次批准阵风战斗机参加“文明之鹰”联合演训，可能也是想看看阵风战斗机在新一代有源相控阵预警机和电子战飞机面前的表现，毕竟他们国内没有这样的演训环境。
十 | （歼16已经不是我们最强作战飞机了） 2025年5·7空战，巴基斯坦空军击溃印度空军，以少胜多，战后复盘，巴方就表示这场空战比他们演训要简单得多。 十一 | 此前巴基斯坦空军与中国空军进行鹰击联合演训，中国空军空警500指挥歼16战斗机对于巴军而言，就是碾压式存在。正是这样严格的训练，让巴基斯坦空军意识到了新一代空战体系的威力，建立了自己新一代空战体系。这是全球首个独立于西方存在的新一代空战体系，对于埃及等国家空军来说极具示范意义，近年来中国空军与外军联合演训越来越多就是这个原因。 需要指出的是空警500指挥歼16已经不是中国空军最强存在。 十二 | 我们还有更先进的五代隐身战斗机，6代机也将在2030年之后列装。放眼全球战斗机发展，下一代空战体系只有中美才能建立，因此未来将会有更多国家空军与中国空军进行演训，希望获得我们指导，建立自己的新一代空战体系。返回，查看更多。 Current article:http://www.chaochangkuanbandangyogeseng.sbs/yp485i3/6f5ldq4.docx Published on:05:22:04 |
